A Facebook friend forwarded me this “Election Night Survey Of Massachusetts Senate Voters” done by Hart Hart Research Associates on behalf of the AFL-CIO.
Here are the survey’s main findings:
1. This was a working-class revolt, and it reveals the danger to Democrats of not successfully addressing workers’ economic concerns.
2. Voters still have the same goals they had in November 2008: fix the economy and provide affordable health care. But they don’t see the job being done.
3. Massachusetts voters say that President Obama and the Democrats have done too little, rather than attempted too much.
4. The results of this election were not a call to abandon national health care reform.
5. Considerable evidence exists that this election was largely about the individual candidates, Coakley and Brown, more than a referendum on President Obama or the Democratic agenda.
6. This election was not an endorsement of a Republican agenda on the economy or otherwise.
Interesting, don’t you think? 2010 is a pivotal year obviously as we have congressional elections in November. I don’t think anybody expects the economy to be fixed this year, but rather at least starkly headed in the right direction. Voters will however expect national health care reform by the time they go to the polls this November. Those assisting in that processes will be awarded with re-election.
I also think that Deeds vs. McDonnell was also one largely about the individual candidates. McDonnell’s extreme makeover from a right-winger to a moderate was brilliant. Deeds, the true moderate, inspired nobody. He was all over the place – rejecting Obama, accepting Obama, rejecting Obama. Bizarrely and perhaps intentional to confuse voters, McDonnell when convenient even praised Obama. So, yes, it was an issue of personalities and not a referendum on Obama in 2009.
What I think Massachusetts shows is that a personable candidate with a good organization behind them. It also shows that voters want results. The Democratic candidate in order to be successful has got to provide strong evidence that he/she is working to improve the economy and to deliver health care reform can win. That is regardless of their party affiliation. A true test of this notion will also play out in Virginia’s 5th congressional district with our Democratic champion Tom Perriello. He’s there with 3 out of 4 of the necessary ingredients so far. Let’s be there to help him with that good organization.
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